Economic strength defies forecasts of downturn but risks remain, experts said. As recession forecasts have grown dire in recent months, they've faced one complication: Strong economic data. The U.S.

Investors are breathing a sigh of relief. A week after President Trump pledged to annihilate Iran if it didn't open the Strait of Hormuz, stocks are back near all-time highs. The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ...

Recessions are not predictable with precision. But they are priceable, and at 40% to 50% probability, the risk deserves portfolio-level attention. The investors best positioned for whatever happens ...

The OECD has forecast that intensifying U.S.-China trade tensions could tip the global economy into recession by the third ...

The third-quarter UCLA Anderson Forecast released Wednesday warns of a rising risk of layoffs and higher inflation that could lead to a recession. “The risk of rising layoffs leading to a recession is ...

Growth forecasts cut for US and global economy, while UK suffers sharpest downgrade in G7 ...

This has been a roller coaster year for the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average, with all three enduring a mini-crash and a rip-roaring rally to new highs. A new ...

While the Fed is projecting growth, four key threats could derail the economy in 2026: policy-driven inflation, "stagflation ...

By David Lawder WASHINGTON, April 14 (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund cut its growth outlook on Tuesday due to Middle East war-driven energy price spikes but said the world was already ...